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Climate change – research suggests it is not a swindle

IOP

PR22(08)

Wed, 2 April 2008

New research has dealt a blow to the skeptics who argue that climate change is all due to cosmic rays rather than to man-made greenhouse gases. The new evidence shows no reliable connection between the cosmic ray intensity and cloud cover.

Lauded and criticised for offering a possible way out of the dangers of man made climate change, UK TV Channel 4's programme "The Great Global Warming Swindle", broadcast in 2007, suggested that global warming is due to a decrease in cosmic rays over the last hundred years.

This would cause a decrease in the production of low clouds allowing more heat from the sun to warm the Earth and cause global warming.

Research published today, Thursday 3 April, in the Institute of Physics' Environmental Research Letters shows how a team from Lancaster and DurhamUniversities sought a means to prove the correlation between the ionizing cosmic rays and the production of low cloud cover.

Previous research had shown a possible hint of such a correlation, using the results of the International Satellite Cloud Climatology Project, and this had been used to propose that global warming was all down to cosmic rays.  

The new research shows that change in cloud cover over the Earth does not correlate to changes in cosmic ray intensity. Neither does it show increases and decreases during the sporadic bursts and decreases in the cosmic ray intensity which occur regularly.

One such very large burst caused the magnetic storm which blacked out the power in Quebec in 1989.

Professors Sloan from LancasterUniversity and Wolfendale from DurhamUniversity write, "No evidence could be found of changes in the low cloud cover from known changes in the cosmic ray ionization rate."

Notes to editors:

Please credit the Institute of Physics’ Environmental Research Letters for this news story.

Contact

1.  For further information or a full draft of the journal paper, contact IOP Press Officer, Joe Winters:

Tel: 020 7470 4815

Mobile: 07946 321473

E-mail: joseph.winters@iop.org

Testing the proposed causal link between cosmic rays and cloud cover

2.  The published version of the paper "Testing the proposed causal link between cosmic rays and cloud cover" (2008 Environmental Research Letters 3 024001) will be available online from Thursday 3 April at http://stacks.iop.org/ERL/3/024001

 Environmental Research Letters

3.  Environmental Research Letters is an electronic-only, open-access journal publishing original research from across the whole of environmental science. All articles are permanently free to read at http://erl.iop.org.

The Institute of Physics

4.  The Institute of Physics is a scientific membership organisation devoted to increasing the understanding and application of physics. It has an extensive worldwide membership (currently around 34 000) and is a leading communicator of physics with all audiences from specialists through government to the general public. Its publishing company, IOP Publishing, is a world leader in scientific publishing and the electronic dissemination of physics. Go to www.iop.org.

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Artwork | Image by Fred Swist